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Staff Reports
CoVaR
September 2008  Number 348
JEL classification: G10, G18, G20
 

Authors: Tobias Adrian and Markus K. Brunnermeier

We define CoVaR as the value at risk (VaR) of financial institutions conditional on other institutions being in distress. The increase of CoVaR relative to VaR measures spillover risk among institutions. We estimate CoVaR using quantile regressions and document significant CoVaR increases among financial institutions. We identify six risk factors that allow institutions to offload tail risk and show that such hedging reduces the wedge between CoVaR and VaR. We argue that financial institutions should report CoVaR in addition to VaR, and we draw implications for risk management, regulation, and systemic risk. We define
co-expected shortfall as a sum of CoVaRs.

 
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