Staff Reports
Dynamic Leverage Asset Pricing
Previous title: “Leverage Asset Pricing”
August 2013   Number 625
Revised: October 2014
JEL classification: G10, G12

Authors: Tobias Adrian, Emanuel Moench, and Hyun Song Shin

We empirically investigate predictions from alternative intermediary asset pricing theories. The theories differ in their use of intermediary equity or leverage as pricing factors or forecasting variables. We find strong support for a parsimonious dynamic pricing model based on broker-dealer leverage as the return forecasting variable and shocks to broker-dealer leverage as a cross-sectional pricing factor. The model performs well in comparison to other intermediary asset pricing models as well as benchmark pricing models, and extends the cross-sectional results of Adrian, Etula, and Muir (2013) to a dynamic setting.

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